Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 021254
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0654 AM CST Wed Mar 02 2022
Valid 021300Z - 031200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the United States today or
tonight.
...Synopsis/Discussion...
The continued prevalence of dry/stable conditions across the Lower
48 will continue to result in an essentially nil thunderstorm
potential today and tonight. The only conceivable potential for a
lightning flash or two would be across northwest Washington in
association with a shortwave trough approaching the British
Columbia/Washington coasts. However, current expectations are for
the shallow convection-related thermodynamic profiles to remain too
marginal for a meaningful chance (10+ percent) and duration/coverage
of thunderstorms.
..Guyer/Leitman.. 03/02/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z
| 
)
