Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 021611
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1011 AM CST Wed Mar 02 2022
Valid 021630Z - 031200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
No thunderstorms are forecast across the United States today or
tonight.
...Synopsis...
Northwesterly flow aloft will continue across the eastern half of
the CONUS today in the wake of a trough passage off the East Coast.
A second low amplitude shortwave/upper-level jet over the Ohio
Valley will reinforce dry offshore flow at the surface across the
eastern half of the country. The limited surface moisture and lack
of stronger forcing for ascent will keep thunderstorm chances very
low. To the west, another low-amplitude shortwave trough moving
onshore across the Pacific Northwest will support scattered showers
and shallow convection through the day. However, warm temperatures
aloft and the resulting poor thermodynamics will likely not support
thunderstorms.
..Thompson/Lyons.. 03/02/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z
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