Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 031615
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1015 AM CST Thu Mar 03 2022
Valid 031630Z - 041200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms are expected across portions of southern
California tonight.
...Southern CA...
No changes have been made to the existing forecast. A compact upper
low is approaching southern CA. This feature will be accompanied by
a pocket of cold temperatures aloft, marginal instability, and
enhanced large-scale lift. This should be sufficient for scattered
showers and a few thunderstorms along/behind the front as it moves
ashore after midnight. Gusty winds or small hail could accompany the
strongest cells, but organized severe storms appear unlikely.
...Central CA...
A burst of lightning activity has been recently noted along a line
of convection extending roughly from San Jose to west of Sacramento.
While there is some potential that further lightning flashes will
occur in this region, weak and weakening instability fields suggest
that the overall threat is expected to remain below 10% coverage.
..Hart/Moore.. 03/03/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z
| 
)
