Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 010633
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1233 AM CST Sat Jan 01 2022
Valid 021200Z - 031200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE SOUTHEAST AND CAROLINAS...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms associated with marginally severe wind gusts are
possible across parts of the Southeast and Carolinas on Sunday.
...Southeast/Carolinas...
Southwest flow in the mid-levels will be in place across the eastern
U.S. on Sunday as an upper-level trough moves eastward from the
southern Plains into the lower Mississippi Valley. At the surface, a
cold front will advance eastward across the Southeast. By 12Z on
Sunday, the front is forecast to be positioned from far southeast
Louisiana into southern Alabama, north-central Georgia and western
South Carolina. Thunderstorms will likely be ongoing at the start of
the period just ahead of the front. The line of storms will be the
remnant of a severe weather event from the previous day. Ahead of
the line, weak instability will be in place. This combined with
strong deep-layer shear will support an isolated severe threat
Sunday morning. Marginally severe wind gusts will be possible along
the leading edge of the line. As the line moves southeastward during
the day, the marginal wind damage threat could persist as surface
temperatures warm. This should result in a fairly broad area with
low-end severe threat from north Florida into parts of the Carolinas
persisting into Sunday afternoon.
..Broyles.. 01/01/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
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