Jan 3, 2022 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Jan 3 17:07:34 UTC 2022 (20220103 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20220103 1730Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220103 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220103 1730 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220103 1730 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220103 1730 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 031707

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1107 AM CST Mon Jan 03 2022

   Valid 041200Z - 051200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated thunderstorms are expected in portions of the Pacific
   Northwest on Tuesday.

   ...Synopsis...
   A strong upper-level jet streak will extend from the Pacific
   Northwest to the central Plains on Tuesday. A weak shortwave trough
   embedded within this jet streak, with an associated weak surface
   low, will approach the Pacific Northwest Tuesday afternoon/evening.
   Cool temperatures above warmer ocean waters will generate enough
   instability for a few thunderstorms, but a low equilibrium level
   should keep lightning isolated.

   ..Bentley.. 01/03/2022

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z