Jan 5, 2022 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Jan 5 05:33:27 UTC 2022 (20220105 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20220105 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220105 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220105 0700 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220105 0700 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220105 0700 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 050533

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1133 PM CST Tue Jan 04 2022

   Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   A few weak thunderstorms are possible Thursday across parts of the
   northern Gulf Coast.

   ...Synopsis...
   An intense midlevel jet streak will move from the central Plains
   during the day on Thursday toward the Mid Atlantic by Friday
   morning. Preceding this upper trough, a relatively dry and stable
   air mass will be in place over the Southeast, with only 50s F
   dewpoints spreading north ahead of a cold front as it moves across
   the lower MS Valley. Lift with the front may result in convection
   deep enough to produce isolated flashes, but forecast soundings
   indicate very weak instability. In addition, a warm layer will exist
   above 700 mb. As such, severe weather is unlikely on Thursday.

   ..Jewell.. 01/05/2022

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z