SPC AC 060530

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1130 PM CST Wed Jan 05 2022

   Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Only isolated, weak thunderstorms will be possible over parts of
   southern Florida on Friday.

   ...Synopsis and Discussion...
   A substantial upper trough is forecast to be over the Mid Atlantic
   on Friday, and will move quickly into the Northeast. To the west,
   zonal flow will temporarily develop over the Plains as a weaker
   upper trough moves across the Great Basin.

   At the surface, a high over the MS Valley will shift east through
   the period, resulting in stable conditions. However, it appears that
   a cold front may remain over far southern FL during the day, where
   weak instability will remain. Forecast soundings depict deep,
   low-level easterlies with PWAT between 1.50-1.75". As such, daytime
   heating may lead to isolated thunderstorms around the Miami area
   where low-level convergence will be maximized. Both weak shear and
   instability will preclude severe potential there.

   Elsewhere, 60s F dewpoints will reach the middle and upper TX Coasts
   by 12Z Saturday as southeasterly surface winds increase in advance
   of the western trough. While a few thunderstorms may occur over the
   western Gulf of Mexico late Saturday morning, the probability of
   thunderstorms over land is currently low.

   ..Jewell.. 01/06/2022

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z