Jan 9, 2022 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Jan 9 06:18:19 UTC 2022 (20220109 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20220109 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220109 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220109 0700 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220109 0700 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220109 0700 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 090618

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1218 AM CST Sun Jan 09 2022

   Valid 101200Z - 111200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   A few showers and thunderstorms are possible across parts of the
   Florida Peninsula on Monday.

   ...Synopsis...
   An expansive upper trough will stretch from the Great Lakes into the
   Northeast, with a narrow belt of midlevel westerlies over the
   northern Gulf of Mexico and Florida. A cold front will move
   southward across the Florida Peninsula during the day, with veering
   low-level winds and only marginal moisture and instability.
   Dewpoints in the 60s F and heating may lead to 1000-1500 J/kg
   MUCAPE, but a subsidence inversion will exist below 700 mb and shear
   will be weak. A few storms may form in the heat of the day across
   central and southeastern portions of the state, but severe weather
   will be unlikely.

   ..Jewell.. 01/09/2022

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z