SPC AC 091700
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1100 AM CST Sun Jan 09 2022
Valid 101200Z - 111200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms may occur across parts of the Florida Peninsula on
Monday, but organized severe thunderstorms appear unlikely.
...Synopsis and Discussion...
A large-scale upper trough encompassing much of the eastern CONUS
will move slowly eastward on Monday, eventually shifting over the
western Atlantic. At the surface, a cold front will continue
advancing southward across the FL Peninsula through the day. While
mid to upper 60s surface dewpoints are forecast to be present ahead
of the front, veering low-level winds should limit convergence along
the front itself. A weak low-level inversion is also forecast to be
present across this region, which should hamper the degree of
instability that can develop. Still, isolated to scattered storms
may develop through Monday afternoon/evening, especially across the
central/southern FL Peninsula. Modest mid-level westerly winds
should generally limit the amount of deep-layer shear present. While
a storm capable of producing strong/gusty winds may occur, the lack
of better shear suggests organized severe convection is unlikely.
..Gleason.. 01/09/2022
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