Jan 10, 2022 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Jan 10 06:37:27 UTC 2022 (20220110 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20220110 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220110 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220110 0700 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220110 0700 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220110 0700 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 100637

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1237 AM CST Mon Jan 10 2022

   Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are unlikely across the Lower 48 on Tuesday.

   ...Synopsis...
   A deep upper trough will quickly move eastward across the Northeast
   as a secondary shortwave trough develops from the northern Plains
   into the MO and Upper MS Valleys. At the surface, a substantial
   ridge will extend from TX into the OH Valley early Tuesday, shifting
   east toward the Mid Atlantic and Gulf Coast by 00Z. This will
   maintain dry offshore flow across the Gulf of Mexico and western
   Atlantic, resulting in stable conditions for much of the CONUS. To
   the west, high pressure will maintain dry conditions, centered over
   the Great Basin, with an upper high building eastward into CA and AZ
   by Wednesday morning. As such, thunderstorms are not expected across
   the CONUS on Tuesday.

   ..Jewell.. 01/10/2022

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z