Jan 11, 2022 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Jan 11 06:07:41 UTC 2022 (20220111 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20220111 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220111 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220111 0700 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220111 0700 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220111 0700 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 110607

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1207 AM CST Tue Jan 11 2022

   Valid 121200Z - 131200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated, weak thunderstorms cannot be ruled out across the eastern
   Florida Peninsula on Wednesday.

   ...Synopsis and Discussion...
   A relatively stable pattern will continue into Wednesday for most of
   the CONUS, with a surface ridge extending from the Carolinas into
   TX. Meanwhile, high pressure will remain over the Great Basin, with
   an upper ridge aloft there.

   Easterly surface winds will persist around the south side of the
   surface ridge over the Southeast, with 50s to near 60 F dewpoints
   across FL. Although not particularly moist, cold profiles will exist
   aloft with 500 mb temperatures around -17 C. Thus, daytime heating
   may support the development of weak SBCAPE, and isolated
   thunderstorms may threaten the eastern coast of the FL Peninsula as
   they move westward. Severe weather is unlikely given the weak
   instability, and weak winds below 700 mb.

   ..Jewell.. 01/11/2022

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z