Jan 13, 2022 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Jan 13 04:39:40 UTC 2022 (20220113 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20220113 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220113 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220113 0700 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220113 0700 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220113 0700 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 130439

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1039 PM CST Wed Jan 12 2022

   Valid 141200Z - 151200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are unlikely across the Lower 48 on Friday.

   ...Synopsis...
   A dry pattern will persist on Friday as an intense shortwave trough
   moves off the East Coast, enhancing offshore flow. Another upper
   trough will develop from the Rockies into the central and southern
   Plains, with increasing shear across TX and the Gulf Coast states.
   While 60s F dewpoints will spread northward across the western Gulf
   of Mexico Friday night, little to no MUCAPE will be present over TX
   ahead of the advancing cold front. While shallow showers may occur
   over parts of southeast TX Saturday morning, a warm layer above 700
   mb will preclude any thunderstorms.

   ..Jewell.. 01/13/2022

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z