Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 170600
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1200 AM CST Mon Jan 17 2022
Valid 181200Z - 191200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States
on Tuesday.
...Synopsis and Discussion...
A large area of surface high pressure will be centered over the
Southeast Tuesday morning, with meager low-level moisture over the
CONUS. As one upper trough advances eastward over the western
Atlantic and the Canadian Maritime provinces, an upstream
perturbation is forecast to gradually amplify as it moves over the
northern Plains and Upper Midwest through the period. A separate,
low-amplitude shortwave trough should develop from the Great
Basin/Southwest to the southern Plains by late Tuesday night.
A weak surface low related to this southern-stream feature and a
gradually strengthening low-level jet Tuesday night will encourage
some low-level moisture to return northward from the western Gulf of
Mexico across parts of coastal TX into the lower MS Valley.
Regardless of these developments, both the low-level moisture and
related instability are expected to be too meager to support
thunderstorms through the end of the period.
..Gleason.. 01/17/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
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