Jan 25, 2022 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Jan 25 17:35:06 UTC 2022 (20220125 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20220125 1730Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220125 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220125 1730 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220125 1730 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220125 1730 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 251735

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1135 AM CST Tue Jan 25 2022

   Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated thunderstorms are possible across portions of central and
   southern Florida Wednesday.  Severe weather is not forecast.

   ...FL Peninsula...
   Broad mean mid-level troughing will encompass eastern North America
   on Wednesday.  A potent mid-level shortwave trough/speed max will
   move from the southern Rockies quickly eastward to the central Gulf
   Coast by early Thursday.  In the low levels, a weak area of low
   pressure will migrate east from the eastern Gulf of Mexico into the
   western Atlantic as a cold front pushes southward through the FL
   Peninsula.  Clouds with showers and isolated thunderstorms will
   focus near and behind the front.  Weakening and veering flow in the
   low levels with time and weak instability will likely limit storm
   intensity.  Although an isolated strong thunderstorm cannot be ruled
   out given the background strong mid- to high-level flow, severe
   storm development appears low.

   ..Smith.. 01/25/2022

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z