Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 280507
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1107 PM CST Thu Jan 27 2022
Valid 291200Z - 301200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected on Saturday.
...Synopsis...
An intense upper trough will be oriented from the lower Great Lakes
to the Carolinas Saturday morning. A closed upper low will develop
as this system lifts northeast across the Mid-Atlantic and New
England. Heavy snow will impact parts of the Mid-Atlantic and
especially New England coastal vicinities. Forecast soundings do
indicate very weak instability around the top of the saturated
midlevels in conjunction with strong ascent. A lightning flash or
two will be possible with potentially intense snowfall near Cape
Cod, but thunderstorm coverage will remain less than 10 percent and
general thunder will not be included with this outlook.
Behind the upper eastern upper trough, continental boundary-layer
trajectories across much of the northern/central Plains into the
Midwest and Southeast will result in dry/stable conditions.
Meanwhile, an upper ridge over the western states will weaken as it
shifts eastward and an upper low off the CA coast migrates inland to
the lower CO Valley. Southerly low-level flow will overspread the
southern Plains ahead of the western upper trough. However, prior
frontal intrusions well into the Gulf of Mexico will preclude
northward moisture return.
..Leitman.. 01/28/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
| 
)
