Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 281707
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1107 AM CST Fri Jan 28 2022
Valid 291200Z - 301200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected on Saturday.
...Synopsis...
An amplifying upper-level trough will move up the Eastern Seaboard
on Saturday with a very strong surface low Saturday morning
continuing to deepen through the day. This Nor'easter will bring
very heavy snowfall and strong winds to portions of the Northeast.
Forecast soundings indicate some weak elevated instability near Cape
Cod with maximum temperatures around -3 to -4C. This may be
sufficient for some supercooled water/graupel and thus enough charge
separation for some lightning flashes. However, this marginal
thermal profile for phase diversity, and only weak instability
brings some doubt to the amount of lightning flashes that will be
seen. Therefore, no general thunderstorm delineation has been added
at this time.
Elsewhere in the CONUS a cool/dry continental airmass will be in
place and mitigate any threat for thunderstorms.
..Bentley.. 01/28/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z
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