Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 291727
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1127 AM CST Sat Jan 29 2022
Valid 301200Z - 311200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Sunday.
...Synopsis...
The large scale wave pattern will feature a trough over the eastern
CONUS and a ridge over the western CONUS on Sunday. A closed low
beneath this western CONUS ridge will move from the Southwest into
South Texas through the day.
As the Southwest closed low moves eastward, modest low-level mass
response will ensue with some increasing low-level moisture in the
low-levels. By Sunday night, enough low-level moisture may advect
northward for modest instability amid isentropic ascent as the
low-level jet strengthens. This may be sufficient for isolated
thunderstorm activity, especially after 06Z. Weak instability and
shear should preclude any threat for severe weather.
Elsewhere in the CONUS a cool/dry continental airmass will limit
thunderstorm chances.
..Bentley.. 01/29/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z
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