Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 310538
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1138 PM CST Sun Jan 30 2022
Valid 011200Z - 021200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday.
...Synopsis...
A mid/upper shortwave trough over the western Gulf of Mexico will
weaken as it tracks across the Gulf and moves offshore the east
coast of FL by Wednesday morning. Another mid/upper shortwave
impulse over the Upper Midwest will quickly eject northeast into
Ontario while a larger-scale upper trough deepens over the western
U.S. At the surface, a weak low/trough will extend from western OK
into central TX. South/southeasterly low level flow will spread
modest boundary-layer moisture northward across the south-central
states/Lower MS Valley vicinity. An arctic cold front will drop
south/southeast across the central/southern Plains and mid-MS
Valley, extending from southern IL to central TX by Wednesday
morning. While modest boundary layer moisture will exist across
parts of the TX Gulf Coast into the southern MS Valley vicinity,
instability is forecast to remain weak due to widespread cloudiness
and poor lapse rates. Forcing for ascent will also remain weak over
the region and any thunderstorm activity is expected to remain
offshore from the LA coast over the Gulf waters.
..Leitman.. 01/31/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
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