Jan 31, 2022 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Jan 31 17:13:28 UTC 2022 (20220131 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20220131 1730Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220131 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220131 1730 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220131 1730 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220131 1730 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 311713

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1113 AM CST Mon Jan 31 2022

   Valid 011200Z - 021200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday.

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level trough will weaken as it crosses the Gulf of Mexico on
   Tuesday. A second mid-level shortwave trough will move from the
   southern California coast to the southern Plains. Modest low-level
   moisture is expected to stream northward in a broad region of
   southerly flow ahead of this secondary weave. However, instability
   is expected to remain weak/shallow due to extensive cloud cover and
   warm mid-level temperatures. Therefore, thunderstorm chances are
   minimal over land with the environment favorable for thunderstorms
   remaining well offshore the Louisiana coast.

   ..Bentley.. 01/31/2022

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z