Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 031721
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1121 AM CST Thu Feb 03 2022
Valid 041200Z - 051200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MAINLY
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...
...SUMMARY...
An isolated severe storm may be possible across primarily southeast
Georgia Friday afternoon/evening.
...Synopsis...
A fast moving mid-level shortwave trough will move from the Upper
Midwest to the central Appalachians Friday and Friday night and will
start to phase with the broader eastern CONUS trough early Saturday
morning. A surface cold front will extend from the Mid-Atlantic to
the western Florida Panhandle Friday morning and move off the coast
by Saturday morning with the front across the central Florida
Peninsula.
...Southeast Georgia...
As the surface low moves into the Mid-Atlantic and eventually into
the Atlantic by mid day Friday, surface flow will veer. This should
result in a weakening convergence along the front and result in
limited storm coverage through the day. Despite the weakening
convergence along the front, enough heating may occur across
southern Georgia to support a few thunderstorms during the
afternoon/evening. Effective shear around 35 to 40 knots may be
sufficient for some storm organization. Mid-level lapse rates will
be weak, but low-level lapse rates will be a bit steeper and may
support isolated damaging wind gusts.
..Bentley.. 02/03/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z
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