Feb 5, 2022 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Feb 5 17:00:31 UTC 2022 (20220205 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20220205 1730Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220205 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220205 1730 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220205 1730 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220205 1730 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 051700

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1100 AM CST Sat Feb 05 2022

   Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States
   on Sunday.

   ...Synopsis and Discussion...
   Dry and/or stable conditions are expected to prevail over a large
   majority of the CONUS on Sunday. One exception will be across parts
   of the FL Peninsula, where modest low-level moisture should remain
   in place. Multiple weak, southern-stream mid-level impulses are
   forecast to move northeastward across the Southeast through the day.
   Even with the low-level moisture across parts of the FL Peninsula,
   forecast soundings indicate rather poor mid-level lapse rates, which
   should inhibit the development of enough instability to support
   convective potential. Accordingly, thunderstorms are not forecast
   across the CONUS on Sunday.

   ..Gleason.. 02/05/2022

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z