Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 051700
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1100 AM CST Sat Feb 05 2022
Valid 061200Z - 071200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States
on Sunday.
...Synopsis and Discussion...
Dry and/or stable conditions are expected to prevail over a large
majority of the CONUS on Sunday. One exception will be across parts
of the FL Peninsula, where modest low-level moisture should remain
in place. Multiple weak, southern-stream mid-level impulses are
forecast to move northeastward across the Southeast through the day.
Even with the low-level moisture across parts of the FL Peninsula,
forecast soundings indicate rather poor mid-level lapse rates, which
should inhibit the development of enough instability to support
convective potential. Accordingly, thunderstorms are not forecast
across the CONUS on Sunday.
..Gleason.. 02/05/2022
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z