Feb 6, 2022 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Feb 6 17:06:29 UTC 2022 (20220206 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20220206 1730Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220206 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220206 1730 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220206 1730 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220206 1730 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 061706

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1106 AM CST Sun Feb 06 2022

   Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States
   on Monday.

   ...Synopsis and Discussion...
   A positively tilted upper trough will move across much of the
   central/eastern states on Monday. Dry and/or stable conditions are
   expected to prevail across nearly the entire CONUS, with the
   exception of south FL and the Keys. At the surface, a weak low is
   forecast to develop northeastward over the Gulf Stream through the
   day, while remaining offshore from coastal SC/NC. Any convection
   associated with the warm sector of this cyclone is expected to stay
   offshore, with little thunderstorm potential evident across the
   CONUS through the period.

   ..Gleason.. 02/06/2022

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z