Feb 7, 2022 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Feb 7 17:08:12 UTC 2022 (20220207 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20220207 1730Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220207 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220207 1730 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220207 1730 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220207 1730 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 071708

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1108 AM CST Mon Feb 07 2022

   Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous Unites States
   on Tuesday.

   ...Synopsis and Discussion...
   Multiple upper troughs will progress eastward across the central and
   eastern states on Tuesday. At the surface, a prior cold front
   passage will limit modest low-level moisture to parts of south FL
   and the Keys. Poor mid-level lapse rates are evident in forecast
   soundings across this region. This should limit the potential for
   sufficient instability to support convection capable of producing
   lightning. Accordingly, thunderstorms are not expected across the
   CONUS on Tuesday.

   ..Gleason.. 02/07/2022

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z