Feb 8, 2022 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Feb 8 17:11:15 UTC 2022 (20220208 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20220208 1730Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220208 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220208 1730 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220208 1730 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220208 1730 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 081711

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1111 AM CST Tue Feb 08 2022

   Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   The risk for thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S.,
   Wednesday through Wednesday night.

   ...Synopsis...
   A longwave mid-level trough has brought a continental airmass to the
   entire CONUS with sufficiently limited moisture to support deep
   convection. However, despite this relatively dry airmass, enough
   surface heating may occur below cold air aloft in the Ohio Valley to
   support some convection. Forecast soundings indicate weak
   instability, but also have equilibrium levels cold enough to
   possibly support charge separation. Therefore, isolated lightning
   may occur from this activity, but chances remain too low to add a
   general thunderstorm area at this time.

   ..Bentley.. 02/08/2022

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z