Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 081711
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1111 AM CST Tue Feb 08 2022
Valid 091200Z - 101200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The risk for thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S.,
Wednesday through Wednesday night.
...Synopsis...
A longwave mid-level trough has brought a continental airmass to the
entire CONUS with sufficiently limited moisture to support deep
convection. However, despite this relatively dry airmass, enough
surface heating may occur below cold air aloft in the Ohio Valley to
support some convection. Forecast soundings indicate weak
instability, but also have equilibrium levels cold enough to
possibly support charge separation. Therefore, isolated lightning
may occur from this activity, but chances remain too low to add a
general thunderstorm area at this time.
..Bentley.. 02/08/2022
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z