SPC AC 101708

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1108 AM CST Thu Feb 10 2022

   Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Aside from a small portion of Deep South Texas, the risk for
   thunderstorms appears low across much of the contiguous United
   States on Friday.

   ...Synopsis and Discussion...
   Mean upper troughing will remain prominent over much of the central
   and eastern states as multiple shorter wavelength impulses move
   across these regions. At the surface, a low initially over the Great
   Lakes will develop northeastward into Quebec through the day, while
   an attendant cold front sweeps south-southeastward across much of
   the Plains and MS Valley. Ahead of this front, modest low-level
   moisture should return northward across parts of Deep South TX into
   the northern Gulf of Mexico and south FL. Mid-level lapse rates are
   forecast to gradually steepen across Deep South TX through the
   period, which combined with the increasing low-level moisture should
   foster the development of weak MUCAPE, particularly Friday night.
   Although large-scale ascent will likely remain nebulous on the
   southern periphery of the large-scale upper trough, isolated
   thunderstorms appear possible Friday into Friday night across
   portions of Deep South TX as elevated instability gradually
   increases.

   ..Gleason.. 02/10/2022

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