Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 121652
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1052 AM CST Sat Feb 12 2022
Valid 131200Z - 141200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms are possible across south Florida on Sunday
but severe thunderstorms are not expected.
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will eject into the Atlantic as a surface cold
front crosses the southern Florida Peninsula tomorrow/Sunday.
CONUS-scale cool and/or dry low-level air will promote widespread
stability, limiting convective potential in most locales. The one
exception will be the southern Florida Peninsula ahead of the
surface cold front early in the day. A moist marine airmass will
support modest buoyancy and associated isolated thunderstorm
development ahead of the cold front through the morning/early
afternoon hours.
..Squitieri.. 02/12/2022
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z