Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 170625
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1225 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022
Valid 181200Z - 191200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are possible from the Mid-Atlantic States southward
into Florida on Friday. Severe thunderstorms are not currently
expected.
...Synopsis...
Broad upper trough is forecast to extend across the CONUS early
Friday. A belt of strong mid to upper level flow is expected to
extend from the southern Plains across much of the eastern CONUS. An
embedded shortwave trough and associated surface low will begin the
period near ME, with a cold front extending from the surface low
southwestward to the FL Panhandle. Low to mid 60s dewpoints will be
in place ahead of this front, but warm temperatures aloft will limit
the overall buoyancy. Even so, enough buoyancy will still be in
place for isolated thunderstorms along and ahead of this front, from
the Mid-Atlantic southward into FL, as it moves
eastward/southeastward throughout the day. Much of that region will
be displaced south of the stronger flow aloft, limiting the severe
potential.
..Mosier.. 02/17/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
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