Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 171719
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1119 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022
Valid 181200Z - 191200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are possible from the Mid-Atlantic States southward
into Florida on Friday. Severe weather is not expected.
...Discussion...
As an upper trough shifts eastward across the southern and eastern
U.S. Friday, an associated cold front -- extending from New England
to the Florida Panhandle early -- will likewise move steadily
eastward. The boundary is expected to clear the Atlantic coast
through the morning and afternoon hours, lingering only across
Florida through the second half of the period.
Ahead of the front, very weak instability is expected -- possibly
supporting local/occasional lightning within the zone of low-topped
frontal convection. This lack of appreciable CAPE suggests that
convection will remain weak/sub-severe, though gusty winds could
occur locally with passage of the frontal band across the East Coast
states during the day.
Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected.
..Goss.. 02/17/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z
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