Feb 18, 2022 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Feb 18 06:52:44 UTC 2022 (20220218 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20220218 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220218 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220218 0700 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220218 0700 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220218 0700 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 180652

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1252 AM CST Fri Feb 18 2022

   Valid 191200Z - 201200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not expected across the continental United States
   on Saturday and Saturday night.

   ...DISCUSSION...
   An upper-level trough will move eastward across the eastern U.S. on
   Saturday as west-northwest mid-level flow remains in place from the
   Pacific Northwest to the Great Plains. At the surface, an area of
   high pressure will move eastward across the central and eastern U.S.
   on Saturday. This cold and dry airmass will limit the potential for
   thunderstorm development across the continental United States
   Saturday and Saturday night.

   ..Broyles.. 02/18/2022

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z