Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 181730
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1130 AM CST Fri Feb 18 2022
Valid 191200Z - 201200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across the continental United States
on Saturday and Saturday night.
...Discussion...
Broadly cyclonic flow aloft will be maintained across the U.S.
Saturday, as one smaller-scale trough moves eastward toward -- and
eventually off -- the East Coast, while a second digging
southeastward across western Canada moves into the northern Rockies.
With surface high pressure prevailing east of the Rockies, a
cool/dry continental airmass will result in quiescent conditions
from a convective perspective.
..Goss.. 02/18/2022
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z