Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 220645
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1245 AM CST Tue Feb 22 2022
Valid 231200Z - 241200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorm development will be possible on Wednesday and Wednesday
night from parts of the Southern Plains eastward into the mid
Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys. The potential for severe should
be low.
...Arklatex...
Southwest mid-level flow will be in place on Wednesday and Wednesday
night across much of the eastern half of the nation. At the surface,
a cold airmass will settle into much of the Great Plains and
Mississippi Valley. A low-level jet will develop over the top of the
cold air mass across Texas during the day, and move into the Ozarks
by evening. Warm-advection-related thunderstorms are expected to
form near the low-level jet in the Ozarks and Arklatex, especially
in the evening and overnight period. Hail will be possible with the
stronger elevated thunderstorms, but any severe threat should remain
minimal due to the marginal thermodynamic profile. A few
thunderstorms may affect areas as far east as the lower Ohio and
Tennessee Valleys late in the period.
..Broyles.. 02/22/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
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