Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
SPC AC 230650
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1250 AM CST Wed Feb 23 2022
Valid 241200Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...
...SUMMARY...
A marginal severe threat is expected on Thursday across parts of the
lower Mississippi Valley.
...Lower Mississippi Valley...
An upper-level trough will move into the Great Plains on Thursday as
a front remains across the lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys.
Surface dewpoints to the southeast of the front in the 60s F will
contribute to weak destabilization by afternoon. Isolated to
scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop along and near the
front during the afternoon from central Louisiana northeastward into
southern Tennessee. The combination of instability and shear is not
expected to be sufficient for sustained supercells. However, the
stronger multicells could have potential for marginally severe wind
gusts and hail, with the threat concentrated near and just after
peak heating. There is some uncertainty concerning where the front
will be during the late afternoon on Thursday. For this reason, the
threat area could end up being in a narrower corridor than is shown
on the outlook.
..Broyles.. 02/23/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
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