Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 231723
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1123 AM CST Wed Feb 23 2022
Valid 241200Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF
MISSISSIPPI...
...SUMMARY...
A strong thunderstorm or two is possible for a portion of
Mississippi on Thursday.
...Synopsis...
A potent mid-level shortwave trough and associated speed max will
move from the Four Corners to the southern Great Lakes during the
day 2 period. A wide belt of strong southwesterly mid- to
high-level flow will extend from the southern Great Plains
east-northeastward into the Northeast. In the low levels, a front
draped from the upper TX coast to central AL will advance northward
across parts of MS/AL during the day as a weak surface low develops
over KY by early evening. Considerable cloudiness will limit the
magnitude of destabilization across the warm sector over the central
Gulf Coast states despite the presence of 60s F dewpoints south of
the boundary. Mean flow parallel to the boundary, a mid-level warm
layer near 750 mb, and substantial forcing for ascent displaced to
the north of the region will combine to curtail thunderstorm
coverage and storm intensity. A few strong gusts --possibly
damaging-- cannot be ruled out with a couple of storms on Thursday
and Thursday evening across parts of Mississippi.
..Smith.. 02/23/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z
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