Feb 25, 2022 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Feb 25 06:18:00 UTC 2022 (20220225 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20220225 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220225 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220225 0700 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220225 0700 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220225 0700 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 250618

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1218 AM CST Fri Feb 25 2022

   Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not expected across the continental United States
   on Saturday.

   ...Synopsis...
   A stable pattern will continue over the CONUS on Saturday with high
   pressure dominating the surface pattern. Strong westerly flow aloft
   will stretch from the southern Plains to the Mid Atlantic, with an
   upper trough dropping southeast across the Great Lakes. Weak
   east/northeasterly surface winds will persist across the Gulf of
   Mexico and western Atlantic, and as such little if any instability
   will develop. A few showers will be possible across the lower MS
   Valley where 850 mb flow will be out of the west/southwest, but
   forecast soundings indicate  little chance of lightning with the
   elevated moisture plume.

   ..Jewell.. 02/25/2022

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z