Feb 26, 2022 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Feb 26 06:20:28 UTC 2022 (20220226 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20220226 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220226 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220226 0700 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220226 0700 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220226 0700 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 260620

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1220 AM CST Sat Feb 26 2022

   Valid 271200Z - 281200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms will be unlikely over the Lower 48 on Sunday.

   ...Synopsis...
   A progressive northern stream jet will persist with a relatively
   deep trough affecting the Great Lakes and Northeast. Meanwhile, a
   low-amplitude southern-stream wave will move across the Southeast,
   with weak warm advection around 850 mb out of the southwest.

   At the surface, stable conditions will dominate due to high
   pressure, with multiple pressure centers from the West into the
   southern Plain, and from the Great Lakes into the Mid Atlantic.
   Midlevel moistening above the stable surface layer will be present
   over the Southeast, but forecast soundings indicate little if any
   elevated CAPE. As such, will maintain less than 10% thunderstorm
   probabilities for Sunday.

   ..Jewell.. 02/26/2022

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z