Feb 27, 2022 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Feb 27 06:12:16 UTC 2022 (20220227 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20220227 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220227 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220227 0700 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220227 0700 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220227 0700 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 270612

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1212 AM CST Sun Feb 27 2022

   Valid 281200Z - 011200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Appreciable thunderstorm activity is unlikely across the Lower 48
   states on Monday. Scattered daytime showers are most likely over
   Florida.

   ...Synopsis...
   The weather pattern will remain relatively stable into Monday as
   multiple embedded waves travel across the Great Lakes and Northeast,
   reinforcing high pressure there. To the south, a fast-moving trough
   will move off the Southeast Coast early in the day, with showers
   over parts of GA and FL. Very weak surface convergence may exist
   during the day across southern and eastern FL, and forecast
   soundings show MLCAPE of a few hundred may develop during the
   afternoon. Midlevel temperatures will be coolest over northern parts
   of the state, but little lift will exist. Overall lightning activity
   is expected to be sparse, and as such will maintain less than 10%
   thunderstorm probabilities.

   ..Jewell.. 02/27/2022

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z