Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 270612
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1212 AM CST Sun Feb 27 2022
Valid 281200Z - 011200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Appreciable thunderstorm activity is unlikely across the Lower 48
states on Monday. Scattered daytime showers are most likely over
Florida.
...Synopsis...
The weather pattern will remain relatively stable into Monday as
multiple embedded waves travel across the Great Lakes and Northeast,
reinforcing high pressure there. To the south, a fast-moving trough
will move off the Southeast Coast early in the day, with showers
over parts of GA and FL. Very weak surface convergence may exist
during the day across southern and eastern FL, and forecast
soundings show MLCAPE of a few hundred may develop during the
afternoon. Midlevel temperatures will be coolest over northern parts
of the state, but little lift will exist. Overall lightning activity
is expected to be sparse, and as such will maintain less than 10%
thunderstorm probabilities.
..Jewell.. 02/27/2022
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z