Feb 28, 2022 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Feb 28 06:24:54 UTC 2022 (20220228 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20220228 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220228 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220228 0700 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220228 0700 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220228 0700 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 280624

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1224 AM CST Mon Feb 28 2022

   Valid 011200Z - 021200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms appear unlikely on Tuesday across the Lower 48 states.

   ...Synopsis...
   A deep upper low will remain over Hudson Bay with a broad area of
   cyclonic flow aloft across the Great Lakes and Northeast. Meanwhile,
   an upper ridge will exist over the West.

   At the surface, high pressure will be centered over the Rockies and
   Great Basin, and from TX eastward across the Gulf Coast states. The
   resulting east/northeast surface winds there will maintain low
   dewpoints, with little destabilization possible except along the
   east coast of FL. Even so, lack of lift along with capping around
   700 mb should preclude any deep convection capable of lightning.

   ..Jewell.. 02/28/2022

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z