Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 281728
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1128 AM CST Mon Feb 28 2022
Valid 011200Z - 021200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms appear unlikely on Tuesday across the Lower 48 states.
...Synopsis...
An upper level ridge will persist across the western CONUS with some
troughing over the Northeast.
Cool/dry conditions will be present across much of the CONUS which
will limit the chance for lightning. Some convection may occur off
the eastern coast of Florida, but warm mid-level temperatures should
limit updraft strength and make lightning unlikely. In addition,
some weak surface based instability may develop across northwest and
northern Washington. However, forecast soundings show this
instability will likely remain too shallow for thunderstorms.
..Bentley.. 02/28/2022
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z