Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 010624
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1224 AM CST Tue Mar 01 2022
Valid 021200Z - 031200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the United States on
Wednesday.
...Synopsis...
An upper low will move from Hudson Bay across Quebec, with a large
upper trough encompassing the Great Lakes and Northeast. A strong
midlevel jet over 100 kt will extend from Lower MI to southern New
England by Thursday morning, with cold air spreading south across
the upper MS valley and Great Lakes. To the west, an upper ridge
will edge east across the Great Basin and toward the Rockies as an
amplified upper trough moves toward the Pacific Coast late.
High pressure will maintain dry conditions over much of the CONUS,
preventing instability from developing due to poor moisture
trajectories near the Gulf of Mexico. Elsewhere, little to no CAPE
is forecast across the Pacific Northwest in advance of the
aforementioned Pacific trough, and thunderstorms are not expected.
..Jewell.. 03/01/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z