Mar 1, 2022 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Mar 1 06:24:45 UTC 2022 (20220301 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20220301 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220301 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220301 0700 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220301 0700 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220301 0700 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 010624

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1224 AM CST Tue Mar 01 2022

   Valid 021200Z - 031200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not forecast across the United States on
   Wednesday.

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper low will move from Hudson Bay across Quebec, with a large
   upper trough encompassing the Great Lakes and Northeast. A strong
   midlevel jet over 100 kt will extend from Lower MI to southern New
   England by Thursday morning, with cold air spreading south across
   the upper MS valley and Great Lakes. To the west, an upper ridge
   will edge east across the Great Basin and toward the Rockies as an
   amplified upper trough moves toward the Pacific Coast late.

   High pressure will maintain dry conditions over much of the CONUS,
   preventing instability from developing due to poor moisture
   trajectories near the Gulf of Mexico. Elsewhere, little to no CAPE
   is forecast across the Pacific Northwest in advance of the
   aforementioned Pacific trough, and thunderstorms are not expected.

   ..Jewell.. 03/01/2022

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z