Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 011710
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1110 AM CST Tue Mar 01 2022
Valid 021200Z - 031200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the United States on
Wednesday.
...Synopsis...
A large upper-level ridge will remain mostly stationary across the
Western CONUS on Wednesday. An upper-level trough will approach the
Pacific Northwest with another upper-level trough moving southeast
through the Great Lakes.
Shallow convection is expected across western Washington as
temperatures warm into the 50s. However, forecast soundings show
equilibrium levels only around -15C which would indicate a lack o
storm depth capable of lightning generation. An occasional flash
cannot be ruled out from any deeper storms, but it is not expected
to be anything more than isolated.
Some showers are expected to develop along the sea breeze in far
southern Florida which may drift inland. However, warm mid-level
temperatures should limit lightning production from this activity.
..Bentley.. 03/01/2022
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z