Mar 2, 2022 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Mar 2 06:18:53 UTC 2022 (20220302 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20220302 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220302 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220302 0700 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220302 0700 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220302 0700 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 020618

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1218 AM CST Wed Mar 02 2022

   Valid 031200Z - 041200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not expected across the United States on Thursday.

   ...Synopsis...
   A large upper trough will slowly progress eastward across the Great
   Lakes and Northeast on Thursday, as upper ridging takes place across
   the Plains. Meanwhile, a pair of shortwave troughs will near the
   West Coast, the strongest of which will affect southern CA and
   northern Baja. Strong cooling aloft north of the 90 kt midlevel
   speed max may result in shallow convection off the coast of southern
   CA, and isolated lightning flashes cannot be ruled out. However, it
   appears this activity will remain primarily offshore.

   Elsewhere, easterly surface winds will exist across the Gulf of
   Mexico with high pressure over the Mid Atlantic. Southerly surface
   winds will begin to increase across the southern and central Plains,
   but little to no instability will exist at that time early in the
   moisture return cycle.

   ..Jewell.. 03/02/2022

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z