Jan 3, 2022 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Mon Jan 3 08:29:47 UTC 2022 (20220103 0830Z Day 3 shapefile | 20220103 0830Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220103 0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20220103 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 030829

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0229 AM CST Mon Jan 03 2022

   Valid 051200Z - 061200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated thunderstorms may occur over far eastern North Carolina on
   Wednesday. No severe thunderstorms are expected across the
   continental United States Wednesday or Wednesday night.

   ...DISCUSSION...
   An upper-level trough is forecast to move into the Mississippi
   Valley on Wednesday. At the surface, high pressure will build across
   the central U.S. as a cold front advances quickly southward through
   the Great Plains. A dry airmass should be in place across most of
   the continental United States. The one exception will be in the far
   eastern North Carolina where thunderstorms will be possible.
   Instability should be too weak for a severe threat. Thunderstorms
   are not expected to develop over the remainder of the continental
   United States Wednesday or Wednesday night.

   ..Broyles.. 01/03/2022

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z