Jan 4, 2022 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Tue Jan 4 07:23:18 UTC 2022 (20220104 0830Z Day 3 shapefile | 20220104 0830Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220104 0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20220104 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 040723

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0123 AM CST Tue Jan 04 2022

   Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   A few weak thunderstorms are possible Thursday across parts of the
   northern Gulf Coast.

   ...Synopsis...
   A large upper trough over the Plains will amplify as it moves toward
   the MS Valley during the day on Thursday, approaching the Mid
   Atlantic by Friday morning. Preceding this trough, a relatively dry
   and stable air mass will be in place over the Southeast, with only
   50s F dewpoints ahead of a cold front as it moves across the lower
   MS Valley during the day. As a result of low-level warm advection
   returning above the cool air mass, only weak, elevated instability
   is forecast over land, centered over southern Alabama and the
   Florida Panhandle.

   ..Jewell.. 01/04/2022

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z