Jan 5, 2022 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Wed Jan 5 06:59:19 UTC 2022 (20220105 0830Z Day 3 shapefile | 20220105 0830Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220105 0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20220105 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 050659

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1259 AM CST Wed Jan 05 2022

   Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are unlikely across the contiguous states on Friday.

   ...Synopsis...
   A strong upper trough will exist over the Mid Atlantic on Friday,
   moving quickly across the Northeast. To the west, temporary zonal
   flow will develop over the Plains as a weaker upper trough moves
   across the Great Basin.

   At the surface, a sprawling high will be centered over the MS
   Valley, shifting east through the period and resulting in stable
   conditions. Offshore flow will exist over the Gulf of Mexico and
   Atlantic, though 60s F dewpoints will approach the TX Coast by early
   Saturday in advance of the western trough. A few thunderstorms may
   occur over the western Gulf of Mexico Friday night, and are
   currently expected to remain offshore. Otherwise, instability is not
   expected to favor thunderstorms over the CONUS.

   ..Jewell.. 01/05/2022

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z