Jan 8, 2022 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Sat Jan 8 07:44:58 UTC 2022 (20220108 0830Z Day 3 shapefile | 20220108 0830Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220108 0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20220108 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 080744

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0144 AM CST Sat Jan 08 2022

   Valid 101200Z - 111200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   A few showers and thunderstorms are possible across parts of the
   Florida Peninsula on Monday.

   ...Synopsis...
   A large upper trough will exist over the Great Lakes and Northeast,
   with modest midlevel westerlies over the northern Gulf of Mexico and
   Florida. A cold front will move from southern Georgia into Florida
   during the day, with veering low-level winds and only marginal
   moisture and instability. Dewpoints in the 60s F and heating may
   lead to 1000-1500 J/kg MUCAPE, but a subsidence inversion will exist
   below 700 mb. Still, isolated convection may form mainly over the
   eastern Peninsula during the day with minimal convergence before
   capping increases during the evening.

   ..Jewell.. 01/08/2022

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z