Jan 9, 2022 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Sun Jan 9 06:39:40 UTC 2022 (20220109 0830Z Day 3 shapefile | 20220109 0830Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220109 0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20220109 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 090639

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1239 AM CST Sun Jan 09 2022

   Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are unlikely across the Lower 48 on Tuesday.

   ...Synopsis...
   A large upper trough over the Northeast Tuesday morning will quickly
   move east with rising heights developing to the west over the Great
   Lakes. Another shortwave trough embedded within the northwest flow
   will develop into the northern Plains and upper MS Valley late in
   the day and overnight, providing cooling aloft into the MO and MS
   Valleys where dewpoints will remain low.

   At the surface, a prominent high will be centered over the Mid
   Atlantic, with ridge extending from New England southwestward into
   TX. As a result, dry trajectories will maintain stable conditions,
   and with an upper high over the West, thunderstorms are not expected
   across the CONUS Tuesday.

   ..Jewell.. 01/09/2022

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z