Jan 10, 2022 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Mon Jan 10 06:37:24 UTC 2022 (20220110 0830Z Day 3 shapefile | 20220110 0830Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220110 0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20220110 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 100637

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1237 AM CST Mon Jan 10 2022

   Valid 121200Z - 131200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms appear unlikely across the Lower 48 on Wednesday.

   ...Synopsis...
   An intense shortwave trough over the Upper and Middle MS Valley will
   amplify as it quickly dives southeastward across the OH/TN/Lower MS
   Valleys during the day, and into the southeastern-most states by 12Z
   Thursday. An upper ridge will remain over much of the West, although
   a compact shortwave trough is forecast to affects the Pacific
   Northwest into Thursday morning.

   At the surface, high pressure will be centered over the Carolinas,
   with easterly winds across FL where dewpoints may struggle to reach
   60 F. A few showers may occur offshore the eastern Peninsula.

   Elsewhere, a high will also linger over the Great Basin, providing
   dry conditions. Little if any instability is forecast in association
   with the WA/OR shortwave trough, and as such, thunderstorms will be
   unlikely.

   ..Jewell.. 01/10/2022

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z