SPC AC 110609

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1209 AM CST Tue Jan 11 2022

   Valid 131200Z - 141200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated weak thunderstorms may occur during the early morning hours
   Thursday over southern Florida.

   ...Synopsis and Discussion...
   A large-scale trough amplification will occur over the eastern CONUS
   on Thursday as a strong midlevel jet dives southeast from the mid MS
   Valley into the Southeast. Preceding this wave, a southern-stream
   disturbance will move across southern FL toward the Bahamas. Weak
   low pressure will exist near the FL Straits, shifting east toward
   the Bahamas in association with the southern-stream disturbance.
   Dewpoints are forecast to only be in the lower 60s F across far
   southern FL, resulting in up to 500 J/kg SBCAPE.

   Models indicate early morning rain and perhaps isolated
   thunderstorms will affects southern FL, but will move totally
   offshore by 15Z. Therefore, only a small window of time will exist
   for thunderstorm potential here, and the weak instability and
   low-level flow should preclude any severe potential.

   ..Jewell.. 01/11/2022

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z