SPC AC 150700
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0100 AM CST Sat Jan 15 2022
Valid 171200Z - 181200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States
on Monday.
...Synopsis and Discussion...
By 12Z Monday morning, a large-scale upper trough should encompass
much of the eastern CONUS. An embedded closed upper low is forecast
to be located over the Mid-Atlantic region. This feature should move
generally northward across the Northeast through the day, while the
large-scale upper trough gradually shifts eastward over the East
Coast and across the western Atlantic through the period. A surface
cold front should be located well east of the Atlantic Coast at the
start of the period, with offshore trajectories likely being
maintained over the Gulf of Mexico and western Atlantic behind the
front. While strong low-level warm advection will occur ahead of the
upper cyclone over portions of New England Monday morning,
instability is forecast to remain negligible. Accordingly,
thunderstorms are not expected across the CONUS on Monday.
..Gleason.. 01/15/2022
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z
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