SPC AC 160700

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0100 AM CST Sun Jan 16 2022

   Valid 181200Z - 191200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States
   on Tuesday.

   ...Synopsis and Discussion...
   A large area of surface high pressure should be centered over the
   Southeast Tuesday morning, with meager low-level moisture over the
   CONUS. As one upper trough continues to advance eastward over the
   western Atlantic and the Canadian Maritimes, an upstream
   perturbation is forecast to gradually amplify as it moves over the
   northern Plains and Upper Midwest through the period. A separate,
   low-amplitude shortwave trough should develop from the Great
   Basin/Southwest to the southern Plains by late Tuesday night. A weak
   surface low related to this southern-stream feature and a gradually
   strengthening low-level jet Tuesday night will encourage some modest
   moisture return northward from the western Gulf of Mexico across
   parts of coastal TX into the lower MS Valley. Even with these
   developments, both the low-level moisture and related instability
   are expected to be too meager to support thunderstorms through the
   end of the period.

   ..Gleason.. 01/16/2022

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z